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Paper title Date File size Summary Click
"Understanding risk exposure using multiple hierarchies"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2007 EMEA, presented in Budapest, Hungary, 15 May 2007
May 2007 102KB Find patterns of risk exposure and assess overall project risk by mapping risks to project frameworks (WBS, OBS, CBS) and risk frameworks (RBS, RiBS). [Introduces the new Risk Impact Breakdown Structure (RiBS).] Understanding risk exposure using multiple hierarchies
"Understanding risk attitude"
David Hillson & Ruth Murray-Webster, in APM Yearbook 2006/07, pages 25-27
November 2006 93KB Introduces the basic concepts and explains why managed risk attitude is critical to appropriate risk-taking. Understanding risk attitude
"Integrated risk management as a framework for organisational success"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2006 North America, presented in Seattle WA, USA, 23 October 2006
October 2006 76KB Risk management can be used at all levels across an organisation as an integrative framework to ensure achievement of objectives, addressing both threats and opportunities which might affect strategic and tactical goals. Integrated risk management as a framework for organisational success
"Managing risk attitude using emotional literacy "
David Hillson & Ruth Murray-Webster, Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2006 EMEA, presented in Madrid Spain, 9 May 2006
May 2006 129KB Provides clear definitions of risk attitude and emotional literacy, with practical guidance for individuals and groups.
[PMI members can view the slides at www.tpsig.org/Webjournal.asp]
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"Branching out: Decision trees offer a realistic approach to risk analysis "
David Hulett & David Hillson, PM Network , Project Management Institute, Volume 20 Number 5, May 2006, pages 34-38
May 2006 209KB Basic introduction to decision tree theory and use. Basic introduction to decision tree theory and use.
"Managing project risks using a cross Risk Breakdown Matrix"
David Hillson, Carlo Rafele & Sabrina Grimaldi, Risk Management: An International Journal, Vol 8, No 1, pages 61-76
February 2006 811KB Combines the Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS) with the Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) to provide multi-level insights on the effects of risks on various parts of the project. Managing project risks using a cross Risk Breakdown Matrix
"A comparative review of risk management standards"
Tzvi Raz & David Hillson, Risk Management: An International Journal, Vol 7, No 4, pages 53-66
December 2005 173KB Compares and contrasts nine major risk management standards, with recommendations for future work in the standards area. A comparative review of risk management standards
“Gerenciamento de riscos em Projeto : Melhores Práticas e Desenvolvimentos Futuros”
in “Mundo PM” journal, Número 04, Ano 1, pages 38-42
October 2005 328KB Detailing current best practice project risk management and outlining likely future developments (in Portuguese).
“Understanding Project Risk Exposure Using the Two-Dimensional Risk Breakdown Matrix”
Presented by Carlo Rafele, David Hillson and Sabrina Grimaldi. Published in Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2005 EMEA, presented in Edinburgh Scotland, 25 May 2005
May 2005 152KB Expanding the RBS concept to allow multi-level analysis of causes & effects
"Describing probability: The limitation of natural
language"

Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2005 EMEA, presented in Edinburgh Scotland, 25 May 2005
May 2005 106KB Reporting recent Risk Doctor Research results on use of natural language terms for probability
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"When is a risk not a risk?"
In Project Management Practice (the professional magazine of IPMA), Issue 1, Spring 2005, pages 6-7
April
2005
39 KB The importance of clearly defining risk and distinguishing it from non-risks
"Understanding and managing risk attitude"
David Hillson & Ruth Murray-Webster, presented at SCARR launch conference, Canterbury, UK, 27-28 January 2005.
January 2005 172 KB More complete version of November 2004 paper
"Understanding and managing risk attitude"
David Hillson & Ruth Murray-Webster, presented at 7th Risk Conference, London
November 2004 134 KB Overview of risk attitudes and the use of emotional literacy. [Full details are in David & Ruth's book, published by Gower, May 2005.]
"Combining Earned Value Management & Risk Management to create synergy"
A Risk Doctor Position Paper
October 2004 483 KB More complete version of paper presented at PMI Global Congress 2004 NA
"Earned Value Management & Risk Management : A practical synergy"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2004 North America, presented in Anaheim USA, 25 October 2004
October 2004 249 KB How to use risk information to improve the EVM baseline & predictions, and how EVM indicators can reveal risk process effectiveness
"Risk management : The case for including opportunity"
APM Yearbook 2004/2005, pages 55-56.
October 2004 93 KB Summary of why and how to include opportunity in the risk process
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"Measuring changes in risk exposure"
In “The Measured” Vol 4 Issue 3 (PMI Metrics SIG Newsletter)
September 2004 156 KB Discusses simple metrics to track project risk exposure and proposes a composite measure
"Assessing Risk Probability : Alternative Approaches"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress Europe 2004
April 2004 77KB Alternative techniques for assessing risk probability in order to remove subjectivity from this vital element of the risk process.
"Assessing organisational project management capabilities"
Journal of Facilities Management, Volume 2 Number 3, December 2003, pages 298-311
See: www.emeraldinsight.com/info/journals/jfm/jfm.jsp
December 2003 295KB Update on the ProMMM benchmarking model
"A quantitative framework for multi-dimensional risk and opportunity management "
Tyson Browning & David Hillson, Texas Christian University, Neely School of Business, Working Paper
December 2003 283KB Proposes an integrative quantitative framework for risks and opportunities affecting project schedule, cost, technical performance and customer value.
"Risk management : Best practice and future developments"
Presented at II Congreso Nacional de Gerencia de Proyectos, Universidad Nacional de Ingenieria, Lima Peru, 24-25 October 2003
October 2003 123 KB Outlines three areas where risk management might develop
"Using Risk Management for Strategic Advantage"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress 2003 North America, presented in Baltimore USA, 7-8 October 2003.
September 2003 127 KB Use of integrated risk management to bridge the strategy/tactics gap.
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"Extending risk management to address opportunities"
Business Risk Management Bulletin, July 2003, published by GEE Publishing, London
July 2003  
Generic approach for opportunity management
"Gaining strategic advantage"
Strategic Risk magazine, June 2003, pages 27-28
June 2003 120 KB Changes needed to expand the scope of risk management beyond tactical threats.
"Using a Risk Breakdown Structure in Project Management"
Journal of Facilities Management, Volume 2 Number 1, June 2003, pages 85-97
See: www.emeraldinsight.com/info/journals/jfm/jfm.jsp
June 2003 245 KB Full details of the RBS concept and application
"Defining professionalism in risk management"
Proceedings of the PMI Global Congress Europe 2003, presented in The Hague, 22-26 May 2003
May 2003 167KB This paper outlines the characteristics of a profession, assesses risk management against them, and proposes ten test criteria.
“The way to survive – know your business risks” March 2003 134 KB Ten tips for dealing with business uncertainty
"A little risk is a good thing"
Project Manager Today
magazine, Volume 15 Issue 3, March 2003, page 23.
March 2003 92 KB Part of “Foundations in PM” series, introducing basic ideas of risk management
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“Structuring a Breakdown : the Risk Management RBS”
APM Project magazine, Volume 15 Issue 7, December 2002/January 2003, pages 12-14.
December 2002 60 KB Summary description of RBS concept and use
"Organisational maturity in business risk management"
Paper for IACCM Business Risk Management Working Group
December 2002 113 KB Introducing the IACCM Business Risk Management Maturity Model (BRM3)
"Using the Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS) to understand risks"
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Project Management Institute Seminars & Symposium (PMI 2002)
, presented in San Antonio USA, 7-8 October 2002.
October 2002 126 KB Developing the definition and application of the RBS.
"Critical Success Factors for Effective Risk Management"
PM Review
, July-December 2002.
July 2002
  Four-part series on factors required for risk process effectiveness.
"The Risk Breakdown Stucture (RBS) as an aid to effective risk management"
Proceedings of the 5th European Project Management Conference (PMI Europe 2002)
, presented in Cannes France, 19-20 June 2002.
June 2002 268 KB Introducing the concept and use of the RBS. This paper was voted best paper in conference by both track chairs and delegates.
"Scaling the PEAKS of project management competency" Ruth Murray-Webster and David Hillson
Proceedings of the 5th European Project Management Conference (PMI Europe 2002), presented in Cannes France, 19-20 June 2002.
June 2002 204 KB Describing a new framework for assessing project management competency, using a maturity-model approach.
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"What is risk? Towards a common definition"
InfoRM, journal of the UK Institute of Risk Management, April 2002, pages 11-12.
April 2002 125 KB Evolution of definitions used in international standards and guidelines.
"The Risk Professionalism Manifesto"
Aidan Ward & David Hillson, private publication, March 2002.
March 2002   Guidelines and criteria to define a professional approach to risk management.
“What is risk? Results from a survey exploring definitions”
Report from PMI Risk SIG and INCOSE RMWG survey
February 2002 118 KB Results & analysis of global survey of risk practitioners on definitions & processes in current use
"Extending the risk process to manage opportunities"
Proceedings of the 4th European Project Management Conference, presented in London, UK, 4-6 June 2001. [Also in Int J Project Management, Volume 20 Number 3, 235-240, 2002]
June 2001 134 KB Modifying the standard risk approach to include opportunities explicitly.
"Effective strategies for exploiting opportunities"
Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Project Management Institute Seminars & Symposium (PMI 2001), presented in Nashville USA, 5-7 November 2001.
November 2001 113 KB Developing responses for opportunity management.
"Project management benchmarking – theory & practice"
Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Project Management Institute Seminars & Symposium (PMI 2001), presented in Nashville USA, 5-7 November 2001.
November 2001 144 KB Presenting the ProMMM Project Management Maturity Model, with a case study.
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"Project risks – identifying causes, risks and effects"
PM Network, Project Management Institute, Volume 14 Number 9, September 2000, pages 48-51.
September 2000   How to distinguish real risks from their causes and effects.
"Benchmarking risk management capability"
Proceedings of the 3rd European Project Management Conference, presented in Jerusalem Israel, 12-14 June 2000.
June 2000 77 KB Approaches and models for assessing organisational, project and personal risk management capability.
"Developing effective risk responses"
Proceedings of the 30th Annual Project Management Institute Seminars & Symposium, presented in Philadelphia USA, 11-13 October 1999.
October 1999 85 KB A strategic approach for responding to risks.
"Risk and faith : contradictory or complementary?"
Faith in Business Quarterly, Volume 3.2, Summer 1999, pages 8-12.
July 1999 106 KB Contrasting approaches to coping with future uncertainty.
"Business uncertainty : threat or opportunity?"
ETHOS, Issue 13, June/July 1999, pages 14-17
June 1999   Linking risk management to business objectives.
"Risk management for the new millennium"
Proceedings of the Ninth International Symposium of the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE), June 1999, Volume II, pages 1291-1294.
June 1999 18 KB Five proposals for developments to make risk management more effective.
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"The Role of Quantitative Risk Analysis"
APM Project magazine, Volume 11 Number 3, July 1998, pages 26-27.
July 1998   When and how to use quantitative techniques.
“Project risk management : Future developments”
Int J Project & Business Risk Mgt, Volume 2 Issue 2, pages 181-195, 1998.
July 1998 200 KB Personal perspective on likely short/medium-term developments in the field
"Towards a Risk Maturity Model"
Int J Project & Business Risk Mgt, Volume 1 Issue 1, pages 35-45, 1997.
March 1997 289 KB Proposing a framework for assessing organisational risk management capability.
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